Abstract:
The paper presents a forecast of the economic security of the inter-industry complex through the construction
of a simulation model. The authors considered the possibility of using an econometric model in predicting
the level of economic security of the inter-industry complex. The goal was to form a definition of the "interindustry complex", as well as to study the issues of conceptual and fundamental methods of econometric
modeling and forecasting the development of regional industry markets in dynamics. A range of issues related
to the main components of economic security in the inter-industry complex has been allocated for scientific work
in order to analyze the impact of the components of economic security on the integral indicator. The paper uses
a methodology for predicting the structural and spatial-temporal dynamics of interbranch complexes, which includes new and refined methods of modeling and forecasting. As a result, the authors proposed the definition
of "inter-industry complex", "economic security in the inter-industry complex", as well as the general provisions
of the methodology for econometric modeling and forecasting the level of economic security of the interindustry complex. The paper presents a full-scale simulation model that allows you to set, evaluate and make
a decision using large nonlinear data. This kind of system contains dynamic and retarded data, which makes
it possible to apply econometric modeling in automatic calculation.
